面向不确定多任务场景的海上联合作战装备体系贡献率评估方法

doi:10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2022.12.22

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

针对海上联合作战装备型种多样、体系构成复杂、能力生成涉及因素多等特点, 提出了一种面向不确定任务场景的装备体系贡献率评估方法。首先, 分析了海上联合作战装备体系结构、不确定型多任务场景组成和装备体系效能评估指标构成; 然后, 基于直觉模糊综合评估提出了面向不确定多任务场景的装备体系贡献率评估方法; 最后, 通过一个实例对体系贡献率评估方法的计算过程进行分析, 说明了本文所提方法针对海上联合作战装备体系贡献率评估的有效性。

关键词: 海上联合作战, 不确定任务, 装备体系, 贡献率评估

Abstract:

Aiming at the problems of various equipment types, complex composition and many factors involved in capability generation of maritime joint combat equipment system of systems (SoS), an evaluation method of equipment SoS contribution rate for uncertain mission scenes is proposed. Firstly, the structure of equipment SoS, the composition of uncertain multi task scene and the composition of equipment SoS effectiveness evaluation index in maritime joint operations are analyzed. Then, based on intuitionistic fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, an evaluation method of equipment SoS contribution rate for uncertain multi mission scene is proposed. Finally, an example is given to analyze the calculation process of the SoS contribution rate evaluation method, which shows the effectiveness of the proposed method for the contribution rate evaluation of maritime joint combat equipment SoS.

Key words: maritime joint operation, uncertain task, equipment system of systems (SoS), contribution rate assessment

中图分类号:

E917

孔德鹏, 马溢清, 郑保华, 王琦, 张志强, 赵珍强. 面向不确定多任务场景的海上联合作战装备体系贡献率评估方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2022, 44(12): 3775-3782.

Depeng KONG, Yiqing MA, Baohua ZHENG, Qi WANG, Zhiqiang ZHANG, Zhenqiang ZHAO. Contribution rate assessment method of maritime joint operations equipment system of systems for uncertain multi-mission scenes[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2022, 44(12): 3775-3782.

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作战场景	效能指标	u₁	v₁	u₂	v₂	u₃	v₃	u₄	v₄
S₁⁽¹⁾	f	0.62	0.19	0.45	0.40	0.64	0.12	0.61	0.29
	s	0.76	0.17	0.52	0.25	0.55	0.25	0.70	0.20
	a	0.71	0.17	0.77	0.19	0.61	0.24	0.45	0.29
S₂⁽¹⁾	f	0.72	0.09	0.39	0.22	0.46	0.46	0.39	0.51
	s	0.52	0.13	0.50	0.31	0.60	0.28	0.36	0.26
	a	0.51	0.27	0.43	0.43	0.76	0.17	0.59	0.15
S₃⁽¹⁾	f	0.78	0.13	0.42	0.32	0.64	0.17	0.79	0.14
	s	0.76	0.18	0.43	0.25	0.37	0.45	0.63	0.20
	a	0.66	0.29	0.47	0.37	0.32	0.49	0.54	0.38
S₁⁽²⁾	f	0.61	0.31	0.59	0.14	0.74	0.10	0.38	0.55
	s	0.55	0.24	0.64	0.08	0.56	0.13	0.71	0.21
	a	0.63	0.21	0.62	0.29	0.52	0.38	0.37	0.20
S₂⁽²⁾	f	0.72	0.22	0.50	0.28	0.63	0.24	0.52	0.15
	s	0.38	0.17	0.40	0.33	0.78	0.19	0.67	0.13
	a	0.57	0.37	0.79	0.12	0.63	0.21	0.63	0.12
S₃⁽²⁾	f	0.80	0.06	0.58	0.34	0.40	0.28	0.79	0.14
	s	0.62	0.17	0.51	0.26	0.59	0.15	0.59	0.15
	a	0.61	0.15	0.79	0.15	0.59	0.14	0.74	0.20
S₄⁽²⁾	f	0.60	0.09	0.46	0.17	0.51	0.13	0.54	0.32
	s	0.62	0.09	0.46	0.31	0.50	0.38	0.78	0.12
	a	0.35	0.41	0.51	0.13	0.38	0.25	0.56	0.23
S₁⁽³⁾	f	0.56	0.38	0.78	0.12	0.44	0.37	0.33	0.25
	s	0.63	0.29	0.69	0.21	0.60	0.19	0.30	0.37
	a	0.53	0.35	0.69	0.16	0.39	0.43	0.38	0.27
S₂⁽³⁾	f	0.40	0.43	0.76	0.13	0.39	0.24	0.59	0.28
	s	0.51	0.32	0.64	0.23	0.40	0.41	0.36	0.40
	a	0.53	0.31	0.48	0.35	0.72	0.22	0.61	0.24

作战场景	u^f	v^f	u^s	v^s	u^a	v^a
S₁⁽¹⁾	0.592	0.228	0.642	0.217	0.633	0.226
S₂⁽¹⁾	0.529	0.251	0.489	0.242	0.614	0.216
S₃⁽¹⁾	0.709	0.168	0.570	0.246	0.499	0.387
S₁⁽²⁾	0.583	0.251	0.633	0.147	0.528	0.264
S₂⁽²⁾	0.609	0.209	0.587	0.196	0.660	0.178
S₃⁽²⁾	0.707	0.149	0.574	0.181	0.690	0.160
S₄⁽²⁾	0.539	0.161	0.621	0.190	0.461	0.236
S₁⁽³⁾	0.544	0.265	0.569	0.260	0.492	0.295
S₂⁽³⁾	0.553	0.265	0.496	0.326	0.612	0.265

评价值	S₁⁽¹⁾	S₂⁽¹⁾	S₃⁽¹⁾	-
P_T₁	〈0.620, 0.224〉	〈0.545 1, 0.237 4〉	〈0.615, 0.242〉	-

评价值	S₁⁽²⁾	S₂⁽²⁾	S₃⁽²⁾	S₄⁽²⁾
P_T₂	〈0.583, 0.217〉	〈0.619, 0.195〉	〈0.667, 0.162〉	〈0.545, 0.190〉

评价值	S₁⁽³⁾	S₂⁽³⁾	-	-
P_T₃	〈0.537, 0.272〉	〈0.556, 0.282〉	-	-

作战场景	效能指标	u₁	v₁	u₂	v₂	u₃	v₃	u₄	v₄
S₁⁽¹⁾	f	0.76	0.09	0.54	0.4	0.64	0.23	0.69	0.18
	s	0.66	0.31	0.53	0.13	0.62	0.19	0.73	0.17
	a	0.78	0.19	0.54	0.32	0.66	0.20	0.65	0.17
S₂⁽¹⁾	f	0.72	0.16	0.54	0.28	0.51	0.35	0.63	0.25
	s	0.72	0.13	0.71	0.15	0.60	0.20	0.56	0.34
	a	0.77	0.13	0.62	0.29	0.61	0.14	0.78	0.12
S₃⁽¹⁾	f	0.63	0.29	0.55	0.36	0.65	0.28	0.55	0.15
	s	0.72	0.21	0.60	0.23	0.53	0.14	0.65	0.12
	a	0.54	0.14	0.67	0.28	0.67	0.25	0.80	0.14
S₁⁽²⁾	f	0.68	0.28	0.64	0.27	0.65	0.29	0.75	0.18
	s	0.57	0.28	0.69	0.21	0.77	0.21	0.67	0.28
	a	0.51	0.14	0.65	0.28	0.67	0.21	0.68	0.14
S₂⁽²⁾	f	0.65	0.12	0.56	0.13	0.51	0.31	0.66	0.23
	s	0.66	0.17	0.65	0.28	0.58	0.14	0.69	0.15
	a	0.78	0.06	0.54	0.14	0.67	0.14	0.72	0.20
S₃⁽²⁾	f	0.76	0.21	0.76	0.18	0.55	0.21	0.51	0.42
	s	0.59	0.18	0.69	0.13	0.67	0.27	0.63	0.09
	a	0.70	0.14	0.54	0.41	0.71	0.26	0.62	0.20
S₄⁽²⁾	f	0.75	0.07	0.61	0.10	0.60	0.13	0.77	0.15
	s	0.77	0.12	0.72	0.17	0.68	0.13	0.56	0.36
	a	0.57	0.10	0.50	0.41	0.53	0.20	0.53	0.42
S₁⁽³⁾	f	0.59	0.10	0.51	0.27	0.69	0.08	0.73	0.22
	s	0.53	0.36	0.59	0.30	0.51	0.32	0.66	0.24
	a	0.73	0.12	0.67	0.16	0.73	0.12	0.72	0.08
S₂⁽³⁾	f	0.66	0.18	0.74	0.19	0.52	0.13	0.78	0.15
	s	0.72	0.08	0.69	0.13	0.72	0.17	0.57	0.31
	a	0.76	0.09	0.61	0.26	0.74	0.12	0.53	0.35

序号	装备体系变化情况	体系效能评估值(IFN)	装备体系贡献率/%
1	原体系(简称为SoS)	〈0.671 7, 0.090 8〉	-
2	新装备加入 (SoS+A₁)	〈0.723 7, 0.076 7〉	11.43
3	原装备升级 (SoS+A⁺-A)	〈0.703 6, 0.088 7〉	5.89
4	其他装备替代 (SoS+B-A)	〈0.655 4, 0.118 5〉	-7.57