系统工程与电子技术 ›› 2025, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (7): 2304-2313.doi: 10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2025.07.23

• 系统工程 • 上一篇    

装备体系可靠性理论及航天工程实践

李明华1, 潘星2,3,*, 张耐民4, 胡彭炜5, 党宇恒2   

  1. 1. 中国运载火箭技术研究院, 北京 100076
    2. 北京航空航天大学可靠性与系统工程学院, 北京 100191
    3. 可靠性与环境工程技术全国重点实验室, 北京 100191
    4. 中国航天科技集团有限公司体系中心, 北京 100076
    5. 中国航天标准化与产品保证研究院, 北京 100071
  • 收稿日期:2025-01-07 出版日期:2025-07-16 发布日期:2025-07-22
  • 通讯作者: 潘星
  • 作者简介:李明华 (1962—), 男, 研究员, 硕士, 主要研究方向为航天飞行器设计与控制、工程管理
    潘星 (1979—), 男, 教授, 博士研究生导师, 博士, 主要研究方向为体系工程、可靠性系统工程
    张耐民 (1980—), 男, 研究员, 博士, 主要研究方向为飞行器总体设计
    胡彭炜 (1985—), 男, 高级工程师, 硕士, 主要研究方向为可靠性与综合保障
    党宇恒 (1997—), 男, 博士研究生, 主要研究方向为体系工程、可靠性系统工程
  • 基金资助:
    基础科研项目

Reliability theory of equipment system-of-systems and aerospace engineering practice

Minghua LI1, Xing PAN2,3,*, Naimin ZHANG4, Pengwei HU5, Yuheng DANG2   

  1. 1. China Academy of Launch Vehicle Technology, Beijing 100076, China
    2. School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China
    3. State Key Laboratory of Reliability and Environmental Engineering Technology, Beijing 100191, China
    4. System-of-Systems Center, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, Beijing 100076, China
    5. China Aerospace Standardization and Product Assurance Research Institute, Beijing 100071, China
  • Received:2025-01-07 Online:2025-07-16 Published:2025-07-22
  • Contact: Xing PAN

摘要:

体系是系统朝着复杂化发展的必然方向, 体系可靠性是体系稳定正常运行的重要保障。首先, 由体系与体系工程出发, 分析当前体系可靠性研究现状和存在的问题。其次, 对装备体系可靠性相关概念进行剖析, 提出装备体系可靠性定义和可靠性技术框架, 包括体系可靠性能力分析、面向可靠性的体系架构开发以及体系可靠性验证评价。随后, 结合航天工程实践, 提出航天装备体系可靠性内涵, 对航天装备体系可靠性包含的生存性、稳健性、保障性等方面的技术应用进行介绍。最后, 从体系可靠性内涵、体系故障机理、网络可靠性、体系可靠性技术、体系可靠性工程管理等方面对装备体系可靠性研究发展的挑战进行展望, 为体系可靠性尤其是装备体系可靠性研究提供借鉴。

关键词: 体系, 体系工程, 装备体系, 体系可靠性, 韧性

Abstract:

The system-of-systems (SoS) is the inevitable direction for the system to develop towards complexity, and SoS reliability is an important guarantee for the stable and normal operation of it. Firstly, starting from SoS and SoS engineering, the current research status of SoS is analyzed, and the existing problems are proposed. Secondly, the relevant concepts of equipment SoS reliability are analyzed, and the definition and a technical framework of it is proposed, including SoS reliability capability analysis, reliability-oriented architecture development, and reliability verification and evaluation. Subsequently, based on aerospace engineering practice, the concept of aerospace equipment SoS reliability is given, and an application case is presented to the reliability analysis and design technology of aerospace equipment SoS, including survivability, robustness, and supportability. Finally, the development trend of SoS reliability research is discussed from the aspects of SoS reliability connotation, failure mechanism, network reliability, reliability technology, and reliability engineering management, providing reference for the study of SoS reliability, especially equipment SoS reliability.

Key words: system-of-systems (SoS), SoS engineering, equipment SoS, SoS reliability, resilience

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