考虑多参数z标记的体系作战效能评估DoDAF-GERT方法

doi:10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2026.05.21

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

针对目前作战体系组成要素复杂、作战任务规划与作战效能评估脱钩、作战过程各节点动态变化难以预测、传统评估方法无法适应的问题，提出基于美国国防部架构框架-图示评审技术（Department of Defense Architecture Framework-graphical evaluation review technique, DoDAF-GERT）的体系作战效能评估方法。首先，将基于DoDAF中的OV5视图建模的作战活动模型转化为GERT网络模型，实现杀伤网的动态演化特性分析和定量表述。然后，利用ADC（availability, dependability, capability）模型计算网络中各装备节点作战效能，并结合考虑多参数z标记的GERT网络定量计算和综合评估体系综合作战效能。最后，评估不同组网方式对体系效能的影响，分析不同武器装备对体系作战效能的贡献率，识别体系薄弱节点，为体系优化提供方向。

关键词: 国防部架构框架-图示评审技术, 作战体系, 效能评估, 薄弱节点识别

Abstract:

To address the complex components of the current operational system, the decoupling of operational mission planning and operational effectiveness evaluation, the difficulty in predicting dynamic changes in various nodes of the operational process, and the inability of traditional evaluation methods to adapt, a system operational effectiveness evaluation method based on the Department of Defense Architecture Framework graphic evaluation review technique (DoDAF-GERT) is proposed. Firstly, the operational activity model based on the OV5 view modeling in DoDAF is transformed into a GERT network model to analyze and quantitatively describe the dynamic evolution characteristics of the kill network. Then, the ADC (availability, dependency, capability) model is used to calculate the operational effectiveness of each equipment node in the network, and the GERT network considering multi-parameter z-labeling is combined to quantitatively calculate and comprehensively evaluate the comprehensive operational effectiveness of the system. Finally, the impact of different networking methods on system effectiveness is evaluated, the contribution rate of different weapons and equipment to system operational effectiveness is analyzed, the weak nodes in the system are identified, providing the direction for system optimization.

Key words: Department of Defense Architecture Framework-graphical evaluation review technique （DoDAF-GERT）, operational system-of-systems, effectiveness evaluation, vulnerable nodes identification

中图分类号:

N 945.25

陆营波, 骆天溯, 张靖如, 钱晓超, 方志耕. 考虑多参数z标记的体系作战效能评估DoDAF-GERT方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2026, 48(5): 1647-1656.

Yingbo LU, Tiansu LUO, Jingru ZHANG, Xiaochao QIAN, Zhigeng FANG. DoDAF-GERT approach to evaluate system-of-systems operational effectiveness considering multi-parameters-based z tag[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2026, 48(5): 1647-1656.

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一级指标	二级指标	单位	取值	结果
可用性A	任务可用性	MTBF/h	5	0.9259
可用性A	任务可用性	MTTR/h	0.4	0.9259
可信度D	任务可信度	−	0.92	0.92
固有能力C	侦察时长	min	15	0.9438
	侦察覆盖率	%	80
	目标定位误差	km	5
	目标识别置信度	%	70

装备	效能计算值	装备	效能计算值
侦察装备A	0.8040	空中平台B	0.9314
侦察装备B	0.8255	无人机	0.8647
侦察装备C	0.8795	发射车A	0.9353
情报中心A	0.8799	发射车B	0.8704
情报中心B	0.8973	陆基导弹A	0.9465
指挥中心	0.9281	陆基导弹B	0.9417
空中作战分中心	0.9179	水上平台A	0.8952
陆上作战分中心	0.7627	海基导弹A	0.9485
海上作战分中心	0.7496	海基导弹B	0.9369
空中平台A	0.8085	水上平台B	0.9216
空基导弹A	0.9295	水下平台	0.9139
空基导弹B	0.9448	鱼雷	0.9488

（i, j）	活动	概率	效能	效能修正后概率	传递函数（α=0）
（0,1）	侦察装备A侦察对方舰艇编队	0.3333	0.8040	0.2653	0.3204
$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $
（2,4）	侦察信息传递到情报中心	1.0000	0.8255	0.8255	−
$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $
（6,7）	规划作战方案	0.3333	0.9281	0.3093	−
$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $
（7,10）	下达作战方案	0.5000	0.9179	0.4590	−
$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $
（15,24）	下达作战指令	1.0000	0.9216	0.9216	−
$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $
（24,25）	攻击对方海军编队及舰船	1.0000	0.9488	0.9488	0.9488

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