系统工程与电子技术 ›› 2025, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (6): 2015-2024.doi: 10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2025.06.29

• 制导、导航与控制 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于拦截概率的多弹区域协同覆盖制导方法

华子清1,*, 魏明英1,2, 李运迁1, 柳立坤1, 崔正达1   

  1. 1. 北京电子工程总体研究所, 北京 100854
    2. 北京仿真中心, 北京 100854
  • 收稿日期:2024-10-14 出版日期:2025-06-25 发布日期:2025-07-09
  • 通讯作者: 华子清
  • 作者简介:华子清 (2000—), 男, 硕士研究生, 主要研究方向为导航、制导与控制
    魏明英 (1966—), 女, 研究员, 硕士, 主要研究方向为飞行器总体设计与制导控制
    李运迁 (1982—), 男, 高级工程师, 博士, 主要研究方向为导航、制导与控制
    柳立坤 (1986—), 男, 高级工程师, 硕士, 主要研究方向为导航、制导与控制
    崔正达 (1996—), 男, 工程师, 博士, 主要研究方向为导航、制导与控制

Cooperative coverage guidance method for multiple missiles region based on interception probability

Ziqing HUA1,*, Mingying WEI1,2, Yunqian LI1, Likun LIU1, Zhengda CUI1   

  1. 1. Beijing Institute of Electric System Engineering, Beijing 100854, China
    2. Beijing Simulation Center, Beijing 100854, China
  • Received:2024-10-14 Online:2025-06-25 Published:2025-07-09
  • Contact: Ziqing HUA

摘要:

针对低精度指示条件下远程防空多弹协同拦截任务中, 弹道散布大, 各弹拦截区差异明显问题, 提出一种基于拦截概率的多弹区域协同覆盖制导方法。首先, 通过对蒙特卡罗打靶得到的脱靶量落入概率分布进行非线性拟合, 建立覆盖拦截区的拦截概率模型, 作为区域覆盖优化问题中的覆盖节点, 将区域拦截概率最高作为覆盖优化指标。其次, 设计采用改进的Circle与Tent映射混合策略自适应粒子群优化(Circle and Tent mapping hybrid strategy adaptive particle swarm optimization, CT-HAPSO)区域覆盖算法, 在目标误差区域内对各弹的拦截区进行覆盖优化分配, 将分配后的各节点位置作为各弹中制导末段的导引点, 通过高概率拦截区拼接及低概率拦截区叠加, 扩大整体高概率拦截区, 提高覆盖区域的整体拦截概率。最后, 通过三维场景下的制导仿真, 验证了所提方法的有效性。

关键词: 拦截概率, 协同覆盖, 目标误差区域, 粒子群优化算法

Abstract:

A cooperative coverage guidance method for multiple missiles region based on interception probability is proposed to address issues of significant ballistic dispersion and differences in missile interception regions in long-range air defense multiple missiles cooperative interception missions with the condition of low-accuracy. Firstly, a nonlinear fitting of the miss distance probability distribution obtained by Monte Carlo simulations is performed to establish an interception probability model for interception coverage regions. This model serves as a coverage node in the regional coverage optimization problem, with the highest regional interception probability as the coverage optimization criterion. Secondly, an improved Circle and Tent mapping hybrid strategy adaptive particle swarm optimization (CT-HAPSO) regional coverage algorithm is designed. The proposed algorithm optimizes the allocation of interception region of each missile within the target error region. The allocated node positions are used as the midcourse guidance points for each missile. By merging high-probability interception regions and low-probability overlapping interception regions, the overall high-probability interception region is expanded, improving the overall interception probability of coverage region. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified through guidance simulations in a three-dimensional scenario.

Key words: interception probability, cooperative coverage, target error region, particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm

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