基于三角模糊数作战环的航母编队作战效能评估方法

doi:10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2025.03.21

系统工程与电子技术 ›› 2025, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (3): 893-903.doi: 10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2025.03.21

• 系统工程 • 上一篇

基于三角模糊数作战环的航母编队作战效能评估方法

韩维¹, 郭放¹^,*, 刘玉杰¹^,², 苏析超³, 刘洁⁴

1. 海军航空大学航空基础学院, 山东烟台 264001
2. 军事科学院军队政治工作研究院, 北京 100071
3. 海军航空大学航空作战勤务学院, 山东烟台 264001
4. 军事科学院战争研究院, 北京 100091

收稿日期:2024-03-08 出版日期:2025-03-28 发布日期:2025-04-18
通讯作者: 郭放
作者简介:韩维 (1970—), 男, 教授, 博士, 主要研究方向为舰载机甲板航空保障、飞行力学
郭放 (1994—), 男, 讲师, 博士, 主要研究方向为舰载机甲板航空保障与作战运用、系统工程理论
刘玉杰 (1983—), 男, 副研究员, 博士, 主要研究方向为空域管理、舰载飞行器保障
苏析超 (1989—), 男, 副教授, 博士, 主要研究方向为舰载机甲板航空保障、智能优化算法
刘洁 (1990—), 男, 副研究员, 博士, 主要研究方向为复杂系统控制理论及应用

Evaluation method of operational effectiveness for aircraft carrier formation based on triangular fuzzy number and operation loop

Wei HAN¹, Fang GUO¹^,*, Yujie LIU¹^,², Xichao SU³, Jie LIU⁴

1. School of Basic Science for Aviation, Naval Aviation University, Yantai 264001, China
2. Military Political Work Research Institute, Academy of Military Science, Beijing 100071, China
3. Aeronautical Operations College, Naval Aviation University, Yantai 264001, China
4. War Research Institute, Academy of Military Science, Beijing 100091, China

Received:2024-03-08 Online:2025-03-28 Published:2025-04-18
Contact: Fang GUO

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

针对航母编队作战效能评估问题, 考虑到作战环各环节的作战能力指标无法精确度量的特点, 将三角模糊数方法引入到作战环理论中并对其进行扩展。首先, 构建航母编队作战能力指标体系, 并给出作战环中各环节作战效能的计算方法。其次, 考虑信息共享和协同指控过程, 结合作战环理论, 以及航母编队中装备实体与作战环节点的映射关系, 构建作战环网络模型。最后, 以航母编队遂行对空拦截作战任务为例, 对航母编队作战效能展开评估, 并分析集中式和分布式指控方式下航母编队的作战效能以及各类装备的贡献度。

关键词: 航母, 三角模糊数, 作战环, 效能评估, 贡献度

Abstract:

In addressing the issue of operational effectiveness evaluation of aircraft carrier formation, considering the inherent difficulty in precisely measuring the combat capability indicators at each stage of the operation loop, the method of triangular fuzzy number is introduced into the operation loop theory to extend its application. Firstly, a indicator system for the operational capability of aircraft carrier formation is constructed, and the calculation method of the combat effectiveness at each stage of the operation loop is put forward. Subsequently, considering the processes of information sharing and collaborative command, integrating the combat loop theory, and taking into account the mapping relationships between equipment entities and combat nodes in the aircraft carrier formation, a combat loop network model is constructed. Finally, taking the air interception operation of aircraft carrier formation as an example, the combat effectiveness of aircraft carrier formation is evaluated, and the operational effectiveness and contribution of various equipment of aircraft carrier formation under centralized and distributed command methods are compared.

Key words: aircraft carrier, triangular fuzzy number, operation loop, effectiveness evaluation, contribution evaluation

中图分类号:

N944.8

韩维, 郭放, 刘玉杰, 苏析超, 刘洁. 基于三角模糊数作战环的航母编队作战效能评估方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2025, 47(3): 893-903.

Wei HAN, Fang GUO, Yujie LIU, Xichao SU, Jie LIU. Evaluation method of operational effectiveness for aircraft carrier formation based on triangular fuzzy number and operation loop[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2025, 47(3): 893-903.

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作战活动	权重
作战活动	指标1	指标2	指标3
T→S	0.484	0.349	0.167
S→S	0.163	0.297	0.540
S→D	0.687	0.127	0.186
D→D	0.674	0.101	0.225
D→I	0.674	0.101	0.225
I→T	0.163	0.540	0.297

作战活动	探测距离	目标识别概率	抗干扰性	能力
T₁→S₀	1.00	0.83	0.85	0.916
T₁→S₁	0.95	0.75	0.65	0.830
T₁→S₂/S₃	0.98	0.82	0.74	0.884
T₁→S₄/S₅	0.96	0.76	0.82	0.867

作战活动	传输速率	信道宽度	准确率	能力
S₀→S₁	0.90	0.98	0.85	0.897
S₀→S₂/S₃	0.88	0.82	0.92	0.884
S₀→S₄/S₅	0.92	0.88	0.95	0.924
S₁→S₂/S₃	0.94	0.90	0.92	0.917
S₁→S₄/S₅	0.96	0.92	0.93	0.932
S₁→S₆/S₇	0.92	0.77	0.90	0.865

作战活动	传输速率	信道宽度	准确率	能力
S₀→D₁	0.85	0.92	0.86	0.861
S₁→D₁	0.98	1.00	0.99	0.984
S₂/S₃→D₁	0.87	0.78	0.88	0.860
S₄/S₅→D₁	0.89	0.84	0.92	0.889
S₆/S₇→D₁	0.76	0.69	0.81	0.760
S₆/S₇→D₆/D₇	0.98	1.00	0.99	0.984
S₂/S₃→D₂/D₃	0.98	1.00	0.99	0.984
S₄/S₅→D₄/D₅	0.99	1.00	0.99	0.991

作战活动	传输速率	信道宽度	准确率	能力
D₁→D₂/D₃	0.91	0.92	0.94	0.918
D₁→D₄/D₅	0.94	0.95	0.96	0.945
D₁→D₆/D₇	0.89	0.91	0.88	0.890

基于三角模糊数作战环的航母编队作战效能评估方法

Evaluation method of operational effectiveness for aircraft carrier formation based on triangular fuzzy number and operation loop

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作战活动	命中精度	突防概率	打击毁伤能力	能力
I₁/I₂→T₁	0.84	0.82	0.78	0.811
I₃/I₄→T₁	0.86	0.87	0.83	0.856
I₅/I₆→T₁	0.96	0.95	0.94	0.949

指控方式	减少的装备	巡洋舰	驱逐舰	舰载机	航母
集中式	作战环数量	60	60	76	0
	编队效能	< 0.342 7, 0.796 9, 0.969 7>	< 0.342 0, 0.796 6, 0.969 6>	< 0.349 0, 0.782 8, 0.915 9>	0.000 0
	装备贡献度/%	< 14.13, 14.13, 59.87>	< 14.13, 14.14, 59.92>	< 11.23, 11.67, 56.51>	< 67.67, 100.00, 100.00>
分布式	作战环数量	72	72	87	8
	编队效能	< 0.342 7, 0.796 9, 0.969 7>	< 0.342 0, 0.796 6, 0.969 6>	< 0.349 0, 0.782 8, 0.915 9>	< 0.321 8, 0.770 6, 0.915 9>
	装备贡献度/%	< 13.61, 13.61, 59.35>	< 13.61, 13.62, 59.40>	< 11.23, 11.68, 56.51>	< 47.47, 49.12, 100.00>

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