系统工程与电子技术 ›› 2026, Vol. 48 ›› Issue (11): 4017-4027.doi: 10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2026.11.31

• 制导、导航与控制 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于多尺度时序处理的高超声速目标轨迹预测

夏添1, 孟煜程1(), 侯煜冠2, 李宏博2   

  1. 1. 哈尔滨理工大学测控技术与通信工程学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150080
    2. 哈尔滨工业大学电子与信息工程学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150001
  • 收稿日期:2025-08-29 修回日期:2025-11-04 出版日期:2026-10-25 发布日期:2026-06-09
  • 通讯作者: 夏添 E-mail:1011550200@qq.com
  • 作者简介:孟煜程(2000—),男,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为雷达数据处理与目标识别
    侯煜冠(1979—),男,副教授,博士,主要研究方向为雷达信号处理、电子对抗技术、机器学习理论与方法
    李宏博(1980—),女,正高级工程师,博士,主要研究方向为智能信号处理、目标检测跟踪、多源态势感知
  • 基金资助:
    航空科学基金(2023Z035077001)资助课题

Hypersonic target trajectory prediction based on multi-scale time series processing

Tian Xia1, Yucheng Meng1(), Yuguan Hou2, Hongbo Li2   

  1. 1. School of Measurement and Communication Engineering,Harbin University of Science and Technology,Harbin 150080,China
    2. School of Electronics and Information Engineering,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150001,China
  • Received:2025-08-29 Revised:2025-11-04 Online:2026-10-25 Published:2026-06-09
  • Contact: Tian Xia E-mail:1011550200@qq.com

摘要:

针对高超声速滑翔飞行器在轨迹预测过程中无法准确描述运动状态以及多变量时间序列输入网络后难以有效学习序列特征而导致轨迹预测精度不理想的问题,提出一种基于多尺度时序处理的轨迹预测方法。首先,构造机动状态参数作为控制量,同时以动力学方程为基础设计机动预测模型。其次,建立时序处理模型,引入多个模块通过卷积、投影等操作对时间序列进行多尺度分析,利用双向长短时记忆网络得到状态参数的时序预测。最后,通过扩展卡尔曼滤波结合机动预测模型实现轨迹的预测。实验结果表明,与现有轨迹预测方法相比,该方法综合预测性能更优。

关键词: 高超声速滑翔飞行器, 轨迹预测, 多变量时间序列, 长短时记忆网络, 扩展卡尔曼滤波

Abstract:

To address the issue of inaccurate description of the motion state in the trajectory prediction process of hypersonic glide vehicles and the difficulty in effectively learning sequence features after multi-variable time series are input into the network, leading to unsatisfactory trajectory prediction accuracy, a trajectory prediction method based on multi-scale time series processing is proposed. Firstly, the maneuver state parameters are constructed as control quantities, and a maneuver prediction model is designed based on the dynamic equation. Secondly, a time series processing model is established, and multiple modules are introduced to conduct multi-scale analysis on the time series through convolution, projection and other operations. The bidirectional long short-term memory network is used to obtain the time series prediction of the state parameters. Finally, the trajectory prediction is achieved by combining the extended Kalman filter with the maneuver prediction model. Experimental results show that, compared with the existing trajectory prediction methods, this method has better comprehensive prediction performance.

Key words: hypersonic glide vehicles, trajectory prediction, multivariable time series, bidirectional long short-term memory network, extended Kalman filter

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