关键词: 巡航导弹, 攻击模式, 马尔可夫过程, 泊松过程, 多波次

Abstract:

With the development of cruise missile interception technologies, the traditional operational mode of cruise missiles is encountering severe challenges and urgently requires a new operational mode to significantly enhance its combat capabilities. This paper puts forward a cruise missile attack wave model based on Markov process and Poisson process, and conducts an in-depth analysis of the mathematical definitions of the two processes and their unique applications in the cruise missile attack mode. Through setting a series of reasonable assumptions, precisely calculating the relevant parameters, and conducting simulation research with the aid of simulation software, this paper not only presents the distribution characteristics of the cruise missile attack formation in the temporal dimension but also, from the attacker’s perspective, conducts an in-depth exploration of the potential patterns of the attack mode. The simulation results demonstrate that the Poisson flow attack mode possesses extremely strong randomness, which not only effectively reduces the possibility of accurate and early prediction by the intercepted party but also enhances the attack effectiveness, providing ideas and strategies for cruise missile operations in modern warfare and holding significant theoretical and practical value.

Key words: cruise missile, attack mode, Markov process, Poisson process, multiple waves