系统工程与电子技术 ›› 2023, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (1): 221-233.doi: 10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2023.01.26
• 制导、导航与控制 • 上一篇
李明杰, 周池军, 雷虎民, 邵雷, 骆长鑫
收稿日期:
2021-09-09
出版日期:
2023-01-01
发布日期:
2023-01-03
通讯作者:
周池军
作者简介:
李明杰 (1995—), 男, 博士研究生, 主要研究方向为再入滑翔目标轨迹预测、轨迹跟踪及智能算法基金资助:
Mingjie LI, Chijun ZHOU, Humin LEI, Lei SHAO, Changxin LUO
Received:
2021-09-09
Online:
2023-01-01
Published:
2023-01-03
Contact:
Chijun ZHOU
摘要:
再入滑翔目标的轨迹预测是一项困难且具有意义的技术, 现有利用简单函数拟合控制参数进行轨迹预测的方法, 拟合精度不高且对数据的关联性不强。针对该问题, 本文结合长短期时序网络提出了基于控制参数估计的智能轨迹预测算法。首先, 通过设计快速轨迹生成算法, 结合攻角走廊模型快速生成大量机动轨迹, 构建数据集。然后, 建立了包含末点修正网络、控制参数修正网络及预测网络的智能轨迹预测框架, 利用数据集对关键控制参数的变化规律进行学习。最后, 结合目标运动模型积分外推实现轨迹的准确预测。仿真结果表明, 所设计的预测算法在不同机动模式下的预测平均误差不超过1.4 km, 最大误差不超过2.5 km, 能够实现轨迹的快速预测, 且对大气扰动造成的模型不确定性具有一定的鲁棒性。
中图分类号:
李明杰, 周池军, 雷虎民, 邵雷, 骆长鑫. 基于控制参数估计的再入滑翔目标智能轨迹预测算法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2023, 45(1): 221-233.
Mingjie LI, Chijun ZHOU, Humin LEI, Lei SHAO, Changxin LUO. An intelligent trajectory prediction algorithm of reentry glide target based on control parameter estimation[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2023, 45(1): 221-233.
表2
有无修正网络150 s预测误差"
机动模式 | LSTM-DBL | LSTM-VTC | |||||||||||||
无修正网络 | 有修正网络 | 无修正网络 | 有修正网络 | ||||||||||||
AESD | FESD | MESD | AESD | FESD | MESD | AESD | FESD | MESD | AESD | FESD | MESD | ||||
摆动平衡 | 2 184.70 | 5 057.76 | 5 101.18 | 862.93 | 1 304.57 | 1 360.30 | 3 433.40 | 9 301.19 | 9 302.30 | 958.75 | 1 553.21 | 1 631.40 | |||
摆动跳跃 | 3 274.29 | 6 836.88 | 6 932.67 | 884.03 | 1 124.26 | 1 252.08 | 2 024.38 | 4 969.29 | 4 990.14 | 1 384.02 | 1 929.26 | 2 133.39 | |||
转弯平衡 | 7 259.84 | 16 194.01 | 16 620.07 | 907.94 | 1 138.51 | 1 236.36 | 9 100.33 | 20 235.87 | 20 417.00 | 1 651.39 | 2 458.24 | 2 682.99 | |||
转弯跳跃 | 5 982.49 | 16 194.54 | 16 201.27 | 1 396.78 | 2 354.75 | 2 444.48 | 9 570.43 | 26 667.86 | 26 667.86 | 2 893.55 | 6 037.86 | 6 195.15 |
表3
不同预测方法对比结果"
算法 | 机动模式 | |||||
摆动平衡 | 摆动跳跃 | 转弯平衡 | 转弯跳跃 | 平均用时/s | ||
LSTM-VTC | AESD/m | 958.75 | 1 384.02 | 1 651.39 | 2 893.55 | 0.015 3 |
MESD/m | 1 631.40 | 2 133.39 | 2 682.99 | 6 195.15 | ||
LSTM-DBL | AESD/m | 862.93 | 884.03 | 907.94 | 1 396.78 | 0.015 6 |
MESD/m | 1 360.30 | 1 252.08 | 1 236.36 | 2 444.48 | ||
ξv, ξt, ξc拟合 | AESD/m | 59 248.47 | 50 351.25 | 17 856 336 | 26 832.49 | 0.010 4 |
MESD/m | 160 146.41 | 129 858.74 | 383 113.43 | 93 577.18 | ||
KD, β, KL拟合 | AESD/m | 69 138.20 | 44 811.88 | 193 924.60 | 14 935.28 | 0.011 2 |
MESD/m | 173 555.06 | 99 170.00 | 388 346.18 | 30 292.94 | ||
纯LSTM | AESD/m | 4 837.72 | 4 041.20 | 8 633.52 | 3 269.51 | 0.008 5 |
MESD/m | 8 109.31 | 9 658.73 | 18 070.91 | 13 616.74 |
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