智能化时代国防科技体系工程初探

doi:10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2022.06.14

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

随着智能化时代的到来, 国防科技的研究与发展面临新的机遇与挑战。本文从体系视角出发, 对智能化时代国防科技体系工程开展了初步的探索。首先, 介绍了智能化时代国防科技体系工程的相关概念, 辨析了其内涵, 明确了其研究范畴, 构建了国防科技体系工程的研究框架。其次, 系统总结了国防科技体系工程研究重点关注的3个科学问题, 分别是建模问题、评估问题及预测问题, 并对解决这3大类问题的相关理论方法和技术手段进行了梳理介绍。最后, 对国防科技大学复杂系统与体系工程团队自主研发的国防科技体系工程软件支撑工具集进行了简要介绍。通过研究与实践, 为国防科技的发展战略制定、规划计划、项目管理等实际工作提供了理论、方法和技术支撑, 促进了科技创新能力提升和战斗力生成。

关键词: 国防科技体系, 体系工程, 技术体系, 评估优化, 技术预测

Abstract:

With the advent of the era of intelligence, the development of national defense technology is facing new opportunities and challenges. This paper carries out a preliminary exploration of the national defense science and technology system engineering in the era of intelligence from the system perspective. It firstly introduces the related concepts of defense technology system engineering, distinguishes its connotation, clarifies its research scope, and constructs the research framework. Secondly, it systematically summarizes the research focus on the national defense technology system engineering. The three scientific issues of concern are modeling issues, evaluation issues, and prediction issues. The related theoretical methods and technical methods for solving these three types of issues are combed and introduced. Finally, a detailed introduction to the national defense science and technology system engineering toolkit independently developed by the Complex Systems and Systems Engineering Team of the National University of Defense Technology is provided. Through research and practice, this paper provides theoretical, methodological, and technical support for the development of national defense science and technology development strategy formulation, planning and project management and so on, which can promote the improvement of scientific and technological innovation capabilities and the generation of combat effectiveness.

Key words: national defense science and technology system, system engineering, technology system, evaluation and optimization, technology prediction

中图分类号:

N945.2

姜江, 金前程, 徐雪明, 侯帅, 李际超. 智能化时代国防科技体系工程初探[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2022, 44(6): 1880-1888.

Jiang JIANG, Qiancheng JIN, Xueming XU, Shuai HOU, Jichao LI. Preliminary study on national defense science and technology system engineering in the era of intelligence[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2022, 44(6): 1880-1888.

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内容范畴	科学学	国防/军事领域
研究对象	基础科学、技术科学和工程科学	国防科技, 军事技术, 装备基础, 技术基础, 共性、通用、专用技术等等
认识内容	性质、特点、分类、体系结构、社会功能、发展规律、未来趋势	军事技术特点、发展规律, 关键技术识别, 颠覆性技术发现, 技术演化规律, 装备技术特性, 装备技术贡献度、成熟度, 科技人才发展规律等等
应用内容	制订科技发展战略、规划、政策以及对科学技术事业进行组织管理的原理、原则和方法	国防科技发展战略, 装备技术发展战略, 科技人才培养政策, 科技发展规划布局, 技术发展规划计划, 科技资源配置、技术项目管理等等

视图代号	视图名称	涉及主要元素
TV-1	技术属性	技术名称、技术类别、技术等级、技术成本
TV-2	技术组合	技术实体、技术的关联关系
TV-3	技术与装备需求关系	装备名称、装备类别、装备战技指标、技术实体
TV-4	技术与能力需求关系	能力名称、能力指标、技术实体
TV-5	技术发展路线图	技术指标、技术成熟度
TV-6	技术风险	风险原因、风险类别、风险等级

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