Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics ›› 2009, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (9): 2280-2284.

• 可靠性 • 上一篇    

基于退化数据的可靠性评估方法探讨

钟强晖1, 张志华2, 吴和声3   

  1. 1. 海军工程大学研究生八队, 湖北, 武汉, 430033;
    2. 海军工程大学应用数学系, 湖北, 武汉, 430033;
    3. 海军广州保障基地, 广东, 广州, 510320
  • 收稿日期:2008-03-17 修回日期:2008-07-03 出版日期:2009-09-20 发布日期:2010-01-03
  • 作者简介:钟强晖(1978- ),男,博士研究生,主要研究方向为可靠性理论、总体技术.E-mail:zqh1978117@126.com

Research on methods about reliability assessment based on degradation data

ZHONG Qiang-hui1, ZHANG Zhi-hua2, WU He-sheng3   

  1. 1. Group 8 of Postgraduate, Naval Univ. of Engineering, Wuhan 430033, China;
    2. Dept. of Applied Mathematics, Naval Univ. of Engineering, Wuhan 430033, China;
    3. Naval Guangzhou Support Base, Guangzhou 510320, China
  • Received:2008-03-17 Revised:2008-07-03 Online:2009-09-20 Published:2010-01-03

摘要: 一般对退化数据的分析是基于建立退化轨道模型进行的,但这些方法对于退化轨道未知的产品的可靠性评估效果较差。提出了不假定退化轨道模型的评估方法,利用试验得到产品的退化信息,进而获得产品在各检测时刻的可靠度,并用具有保证参数的分布族对寿命变量分布进行假设,通过分布拟合获得参数的估计值进行可靠性评估。给出实例进行了不同方法的比较,验证了该方法的可行性和有效性。

Abstract: The analysis of degradation data is performed by building a degradation path model,which often has bad evaluation results for products whose degradation paths are unknown.However,the method presented isn’t based on the model of the degradation path.First,the reliability of products at each inspection time point is got using degradation information got from testing,and then a hypothesis on the distribution of life variables is made by using distribution families with guarantee parameters,last,the values of unknown parameters are got through distribution fitting,and a reliability assessment is performed.Furthermore,an example to compare with different methods is given,which demonstrates the feasibility and validity of this method.

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