基于CRC-MATE的体系架构方案选择

doi:10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2021.08.16

系统工程与电子技术 ›› 2021, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (8): 2146-2153.doi: 10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2021.08.16

基于CRC-MATE的体系架构方案选择

袁刘鹏程^1,², 方哲梅^1,^2,*, 王剑波³, 秦肖臻^1,²

1. 华中科技大学人工智能与自动化学院, 湖北武汉 430074
2. 华中科技大学多谱信息处理技术国家级重点实验室, 湖北武汉 430074
3. 中国舰船研究设计中心, 湖北武汉 430064

收稿日期:2020-11-30 出版日期:2021-07-23 发布日期:2021-08-05
通讯作者: 方哲梅
作者简介:袁刘鹏程(1997—), 男, 硕士研究生, 主要研究方向为体系架构建模与仿真分析|方哲梅(1986—), 女, 讲师, 博士, 主要研究方向为系统建模与仿真分析、体系架构及系统集成|王剑波(1978—), 男, 高级工程师, 博士, 主要研究方向为复杂组织体架构、基于模型的系统工程|秦肖臻(1965—), 女, 副教授, 硕士, 主要研究方向为计算机集成控制与网络技术、系统建模与仿真分析、体系架构及系统集成
基金资助:
华中科技大学自主创新基金资助课题(2019kfyXJJS17)

CRC-MATE based method for system-of-systems architecture alternative selection

Liupengcheng YUAN^1,², Zhemei FANG^1,^2,*, Jianbo WANG³, Xiaozhen QIN^1,²

1. School of Artificial Intelligence and Automation, HuazhongUniversity of Science and Technology, HuazhongUniversity of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China
2. National Key Laboratory of Science & Technology on Multi-spectral Information Processing, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China
3. China Ship Development and Design Center, Wuhan 430064, China

Received:2020-11-30 Online:2021-07-23 Published:2021-08-05
Contact: Zhemei FANG

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

现代战争正逐步转向体系对抗，为了顺利实现系统集成并形成联合作战能力，需要在设计论证阶段筛选较为优化的体系架构方案，即选择合适的系统组合及其系统间的依赖关系。针对体系能力与组件系统能力的非线性关系, 不确定性导致的体系能力降级风险以及成本约束等问题, 提出基于功能依赖网络的体系能力计算法, 基于条件风险价值的体系风险度量法以及基于系统工程全流程的体系成本估算法。由此构建“能力-风险-成本”的三维多属性权衡空间探索模型。以海上防空反导体系为例, 明晰了权衡空间探索模型的构建步骤, 验证了该方法的可行性和有效性, 为作战体系建设过程中的方案选择提供了新思路。

关键词: 体系架构, 多属性权衡空间, 能力-风险-成本

Abstract:

The modern warfare is moving towards system-of-systems (SoS) confrontation. In order to achieve the joint combat capability via successful system integration, it is necessary to select optimized architecture alternatives that are often considered as system composition and their connections at the early design phase. The selection and decision of SoS architecture alternative are the critical part of weapon SoS concept design, the foundation of weapon SoS development and the initial step towards the integrated capability of SoS for future warfare. The SoS architecture can be considered as system composition and the interdependency between the systems. To address the problems of non-linear relationship between SoS capability and component system capability, SoS capability degradation risks due to uncertainties, and cost constraint, a SoS capability evaluation method based on functional dependency network, SoS risk analysis method based upon conditional value-at-risk, and SoS cost assessment method based on the entire systems engineering process are proposed. The three perspectives result in a capability-risk-cost multi-attribute tradespace exploration model. An application to a naval air and missile defense SoS demonstrates the implementation process of method as well as the feasibility and effectiveness of the method. Overall, the proposed method provides a new idea for the selection of architecture alternatives in the process of combat SoS development.

Key words: system-of-systems (SoS) architecture, multi-attribute tradespace exploration, capability-risk-cost

中图分类号:

TP202

袁刘鹏程, 方哲梅, 王剑波, 秦肖臻. 基于CRC-MATE的体系架构方案选择[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2021, 43(8): 2146-2153.

Liupengcheng YUAN, Zhemei FANG, Jianbo WANG, Xiaozhen QIN. CRC-MATE based method for system-of-systems architecture alternative selection[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2021, 43(8): 2146-2153.

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系统关键指标	类型1	类型2	类型3	类型4
预警机雷达探测距离/km	450	500	550	600
驱逐舰雷达探测距离/km	350	400	450	500
战斗机探测距离/km	80	100	120	140
电子战飞机干扰成功率/%	50	60	70	80
航母雷达探测距离/km	200	250	300	350
中远程导弹射程/km	800	1 000	1 500	2 000

系统	类型1	类型2	类型3	类型4
预警机	1.45	1.81	2.17	2.61
驱逐舰	15.34	17.04	18.74	20.62
战斗机	1.15	1.28	1.54	1.84
电子战飞机	0.68	0.75	0.83	0.99
航母	168.99	187.77	197.16	207.02
中远程导弹	0.07	0.08	0.09	0.10

序号	能力	风险	成本/亿美元
1	83.31	9.62	292.63
2	85.1	20.13	293.63
3	84.89	32.89	294.63
4	84.96	46.01	295.63
$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $	$ \vdots $
4 093	83.08	12.74	389.64
4 094	84.86	21.38	390.64
4 095	85.35	33.56	391.64
4 096	84.87	43.78	392.64

系统	方案1	方案2	方案3	方案4
预警机	类型1	类型1	类型1	类型1
驱逐舰	类型1	类型1	类型1	类型1
战斗机	类型1	类型1	类型1	类型1
电子战飞机	类型2	类型3	类型4	类型2
航母	类型1	类型1	类型1	类型1
中远程导弹	类型1	类型2	类型4	类型2

方案	能力	风险	成本/亿美元
方案1	83.32	9.48	292.91
方案2	85.07	22.59	294.23
方案3	85.65	40.97	296.87
方案4	85.17	21.68	293.91

基于CRC-MATE的体系架构方案选择

CRC-MATE based method for system-of-systems architecture alternative selection

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