基于ADC法的防空导弹武器系统效能建模

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2020.09.16

Abstract

Abstract:

The effectiveness model of air defense missile weapon system based on availability dependability capability (ADC) method is established. According to the complex characteristics of air defense missile weapon system, the muti-state and state transition path of the system is constructed, fully reflecting the reliability level of the weapon system, and the model of availability and dependability is established. The deficiency of ADC method is overcomed, the ability vector of the system is expanded, the comprehensive indexes such as command and control ability, anti-jamming ability and survivability are in consicleration, and the limitation of single index effectiveness evaluation is broken. Various methods are adopt in the scale method to calculate the dimension index, the parameter method is used to model the quantitative probability index, and the scale method combined with Delphi method is used to quantify the qualitative probability index. The model is proved to be accurate and applicable by a numerical example.

Key words: air defense missile, availability dependability capability (ADC) method, system effectiveness, evaluation modeling

CLC Number:

Yueqiang ZHAO, Shi AN, Qiang MAI, Qingyan XU, Yanan GUO. Effectiveness modeling of air defense missile weapon system based on ADC method[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2020, 42(9): 2003-2012.

Figures/Tables 7

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References 25

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参数	取值
R/km	45
R_L/m	150
T	1
M	6
t_r/s	60
m/kg	2 450
m_z/kg	195
v_m/Ma	3.5
探测跟踪	最大跟踪距离70 km,能制导3枚导弹攻击一个目标
杀伤概率	单发70%
抗干扰能力	无线电指令制导,增加抛物面照射天线
指控能力	显示车指挥6辆发射车
生存能力	可贮存液体发动机,结构复杂,体积庞大,机动能力差
可靠性	MTBF Z车120 h, L车55 h, F车50 h,导弹可靠度0.9;MTTR 1 h

状态	状态含义说明
1	Z、L、F、D均正常,系统正常、能作战
2	Z+L正常，F+D中5个正常、1个故障,系统能作战
3	Z+L正常，F+D中4个正常、2个故障,系统能作战
4	Z+L正常，F+D中3个正常、3个故障,系统能作战
5	Z+L正常，F+D中2个正常、4个故障,系统能作战
6	Z+L正常，F+D中1个正常、5个故障,系统能作战
7	Z+L故障或Z+L正常6个F+D都故障,系统故障、不能作战

参考指标	状态1	状态2	状态3	状态4	状态5	状态6	状态7	w_i
R/km	45	45	45	45	45	45	0	-
R_L/m	150	150	150	150	150	150	0	-
T/个	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	-
M/个	6	5	4	3	2	1	0	-
t_r/s	60	60	60	60	60	60	0	-
D_1j	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0	0.34
D_2j	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0	0.13
D_3j	0.3	0.25	0.2	0.15	0.1	0.05	0	0.23
D_4j	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0	0.15
D_5j	0.15	0.15	0.15	0.15	0.15	0.15	0	0.15
P_Dj	0.317 5	0.306	0.294 5	0.283	0.271 5	0.26	0	-

参数指标	状态1	状态2	状态3	状态4	状态5	状态6	状态7
P_G1j	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.8	0
P_G2j	0.973	0.973	0.973	0.973	0.91	0.7	0
P_G3j	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0
P_G4j	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.3	0
P_G5j	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.3	0
P_Gj	0.489	0.489	0.489	0.489	0.483	0.458	0

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Effectiveness modeling of air defense missile weapon system based on ADC method

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