Abstract:

In the process of product development, the products usually go through several stages of experiments and improvement before meeting all the requirements, and a lot of reliable information arises during each stage. Improving the traditional ordering constraints based on the growing law of product reliability gives birth to a new Bayes evaluation method. And through the proper improvement of this method the computional complexity has been effectively reduced. Finally, the analysis of simulation examples proves that this modified method is much more easy, the products have higher accuracy in the reliability evaluation and can be used to solve the engineering problems more effectively when compared with the traditional Bayes evaluation methods.