基于IAHP-CRITIC-MARCOS的多种类目标威胁评估

doi:10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2025.04.21

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

针对传统的目标威胁评估往往只面向单种类目标的问题, 从体系角度构建目标威胁评估指标体系, 并提出一种基于区间层次分析(interval analytic hierarchy process, IAHP)法-指标相关性的权重确定(criteria importance through inter-criteria correlation, CRITIC)法-折衷解备选方案排序(measurement alternatives and ranking according to compromise solution, MARCOS)法的体系目标威胁评估方法。首先, 利用IAHP和CRITIC分别计算出各项指标的主、客观权重。在此基础上, 利用最小信息鉴别原理进行组合赋权, 以此避免单独赋权的缺陷。然后, 基于MARCOS计算各个目标威胁值, 并进行威胁排序。最后, 通过仿真实例对比分析采用灰色关联分析(grey relational analysis, GRA)、逼近理想解排序法(technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution, TOPSIS)、GRA-TOPSIS以及MARCOS得出的目标威胁排序结果, 验证所提方法的科学性和有效性。

关键词: 目标威胁评估, 指标体系, 组合赋权, 基于折衷解的备选方案排序法

Abstract:

For the problem that traditional target threat evaluation is usually oriented only to a single type of target, a target threat evaluation index system is constructed from a system perspective and a system target threat evaluation method based on interval analytic hierarchy process-criteria importance through inter-criteria correlation-measurement alternatives and ranking according to compromise solution (IAHP-CRITIC-MARCOS) is proposed. Firstly, the IAHP and the CRITIC method are utilized to determine the subjective and objective weights of each criterion respectively. Secondly, based on the principle of minimal information identification, these weights are integrated to form a comprehensive weighting system, aimed at overcoming the limitations inherent to relying solely on single-weight methodologies. Then, the MARCOS is used to calculate threat value of each target and perform threat ranking. Finally, the results of target threat ranking using grey relational analysis (GRA), technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS), GRA-TOPSIS, and MARCOS are compared and analyzed, and the scientificity and effectiveness of the proposed method are validated.

Key words: target threat evaluation, criteria system, comprehensive weighting, measurement alternatives and ranking according to compromise solution (MARCOS)

中图分类号:

TJ7
TN95

杨天建, 王星, 程嗣怡, 陈游, 张曦, 张志恒. 基于IAHP-CRITIC-MARCOS的多种类目标威胁评估[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2025, 47(4): 1246-1254.

Tianjian YANG, Xing WANG, Siyi CHENG, You CHEN, Xi ZHANG, Zhiheng ZHANG. Multi-type target threat evaluation based on IAHP-CRITIC-MARCOS[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2025, 47(4): 1246-1254.

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威胁等级	T₂₂
V₁	0.15
V₂	0.46
V₃	0.51
V₄	0.54
V₅	0.85

威胁等级	T₃₁
Beam₁	0.14
Beam₂	0.50
Beam₃	0.86

威胁等级	T₃₂
低DR低CF(C₁)	0.055
高DR低CF(C₂)	0.110
低DR中CF(C₃)	0.180
高DR中CF(C₄)	0.430
低DR高CF(C₅)	0.250
高DR高CF(C₆)	0.695

目标编号	平台固有能力	武器固有能力	距离/km	速度	波束行为	参数行为	信息完整性	信息准确性	信息协同性
P₁	8.6	2.8	185	V₂	Beam₃	C₅	0.77	0.93	0.31
P₂	10.5	4.8	102	V₄	Beam₁	C₁	0.86	0.90	0.15
P₃	15.8	4.8	110	V₅	Beam₃	C₅	1.43	1.39	0.23
P₄	10.5	2.2	95	V₄	Beam₂	C₄	1.58	1.78	0.23
P₅	11.0	5.6	90	V₃	Beam₁	C₂	0.90	0.85	0
P₆	11.0	6.0	140	V₃	Beam₂	C₃	0.82	0.80	0.08

目标	T₁₁	T₁₂	T₂₁	T₂₂	T₃₁	T₃₂	T₄₁	T₄₂	T₄₃
AI	1	1	1	0.85	0.86	0.43	1	1	1
P₁	0	0.16	0.24	0.46	0.86	0.25	0	0.13	1
P₂	0.27	0.68	0.10	0.54	0.14	0.06	0.11	0.10	0.48
P₃	1	0.68	0	0.85	0.86	0.25	0.81	0.60	0.74
P₄	0.27	0	0.56	0.54	0.5	0.43	1	1	0.74
P₅	0.33	0.79	0.61	0.51	0.14	0.11	0.16	0.05	0
P₆	0.33	1	1	0.51	0.5	0.18	0.06	0	0.26
AAI	0	0	0	0.46	0.14	0.06	0	0	0