系统工程与电子技术

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物元结构应急响应决策模型研究

董沛武, 刘世国, 杨玫, 王军梅   

  1. (北京理工大学管理与经济学院, 北京 100081)
  • 出版日期:2016-11-29 发布日期:2010-01-03

Matterelement structure modeling for emergency response decision-making

DONG Peiwu, LIU Shiguo, YANG Mei, WANG Junmei   

  1. (School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China)
  • Online:2016-11-29 Published:2010-01-03

摘要:

为了提高复杂环境下的应急响应能力,基于元决策提出分解〖CD*2〗集成(disassembleintegration,DI)总体设计准则和物元分解的唯一性准则;讨论了物元变换过程中存在的不足,建立了物元分析和解释结构模型(interpretive structural modeling,ISM)的映射关系。通过语义和“情境响应”方法拓展了物元分析结构,并赋予其语义解释及响应的功能。针对决策人员不在现场的情况,构建了物元结构决策(matterelement structure for decisionmaking,MESDM)模型。最后,实证分析了MESDM及其有效性、及时性和可操作性,为进一步研究MESDM的人机智能决策奠定了基础。

Abstract:

To improve the ability of emergency response in complex environment, based on metadecisionmaking, the total design principle of disassembleintegration(DI) and the uniqueness principle of matterelement decomposition are proposed. The shortcomings of matterelement transformation are discussed, and the map between the matterelement analysis and interpretive structural modeling (ISM) is also built. Furthermore, the matterelement analysis structure is extended by the semantic and scenarioresponse, and the function of response and semantic explanation is endowed. In the presence of the decision maker is not in the scene, a model of matterelement structure for decisionmaking (MESDM) is proposed and constructed. Finally, The verification experimental results indicate the function of MESDM with regard to the timeliness, effectiveness and operability, which also provides theoretical support for the study of MESDM’s humanmachine intelligence.