系统工程与电子技术

• 系统工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

防空导弹武器系统可信度建模

赵曰强1,2, 麦强1, 许庆彦3   

  1. (1.哈尔滨工业大学管理学院, 黑龙江 哈尔滨 150001; 2.中国航天科工防御技术研究院,
    北京 100854; 3. 清华大学材料学院, 北京 100084)
  • 出版日期:2016-11-29 发布日期:2010-01-03

Dependability modeling research of airdefense missile weapon systems

ZHAO Yueqiang1,2, MAI Qiang1, XU Qingyan3   

  1. (1. School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, China; 2. Defense
    Technology Academy of China Aerospace Science & Industry Corporation, Beijing 100854, China;
    3. School of Materials Science and Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)
  • Online:2016-11-29 Published:2010-01-03

摘要:

防空导弹武器系统效能通常采用ADC(availability,dependability,capability)模型来评定。随着装备的发展和对抗复杂性的提升,系统可信度的建模和分析计算越发关键。通过分析装备本身的功能组成结构,分析系统所有可能的状态及状态转移概率,来建立可信度的求解模型。并用算例进一步验证了模型,证明了模型的适用性。

Abstract:

Effectiveness of the air defense missile weapon system is usually evaluated by the ADC (availability,dependability,capability) model. With the development of equipment and the promotion of confrontation complexity,the modeling and analysis of the system dependability is one of the key issues. By analyzing the functional structure of the equipment, analyzing all possible system states and state transformation probability, the solution model of the dependability is established. The model is further proved by a numerical example, and the applicability of the model is verified.