系统工程与电子技术 ›› 2019, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (12): 2789-2795.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2019.12.17

• 系统工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于效能仿真的舰艇综合防御鱼雷作战决策优化

张磊潇, 胡伟文, 孙慧玲   

  1. 海军工程大学基础部, 湖北 武汉 430033
  • 出版日期:2019-11-25 发布日期:2019-11-25

Decision optimization of warship integrated defense torpedo based on performance simulation

ZHANG Leixiao, HU Weiwen, SUN Huiling   

  1. Basic Department, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan 430033, China
  • Online:2019-11-25 Published:2019-11-25

摘要:

采用深弹拦截与机动规避综合防御声自导鱼雷,是舰艇水下防御的一种新型作战样式。为了给装备指控自动化和训战法决策提供参考,采用蒙特卡罗方法对该作战过程进行了数字仿真,得到了规避概率、拦截概率和生存概率等3个作战效能指标的估计值。通过效能分析提出舰艇如何机动以获取有利深弹发射态势这一问题,分析影响因素及约束条件并建立了决策优化模型;采用遗传算法并以示例形式求解优化模型,由散点拟合得到了舰艇机动路线。针对不同鱼雷报警位置条件下的防御态势,分析比较了舰艇机动对舰艇生存概率的优化效果。

关键词: 综合防御,  效能仿真,  决策优化, 遗传算法

Abstract:

The integrated defense acoustic self-guided torpedo with deepth charge interception and maneuvering is a new combat style for warship underwater defense. In order to provide reference for the automation of equipment accusation and decision-making in the training method, the Monte Carlo method is used to simulate the operational process, and the estimation of three operational effectiveness indicators such as evasion probability, interception probability and survival probability is obtained. Through the performance analysis, it is proposed how to maneuver the warship to obtain the favorable deepth charge launching situation. A combat decision-making optimization model is established after analyzing the influencing factors and constraints. As an example, the optimization model is solved by the genetic algorithm, and the warship maneuvering routine is obtained by scatter fitting. According to the defensive situation under different torpedo alarm position conditions, the optimization effect of warship maneuvering on warship survival probability is analyzed and compared.

Key words: integrated defense, performance simulation, decision optimization, genetic algorithm