系统工程与电子技术 ›› 2019, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (12): 2772-2779.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2019.12.15

• 系统工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

作战系统运用效能评估的线性系统响应分析法

毛腾蛟, 张东戈, 梁雪峰, 沈虹阳, 牛彦杰   

  1. 中国人民解放军陆军工程大学指挥控制工程学院, 江苏 南京 210007
  • 出版日期:2019-11-25 发布日期:2019-11-25

Linear system response analysis method for operational effectiveness evaluation of combat system

MAO Tengjiao, ZHANG Dongge, LIANG Xuefeng, SHEN Hongyang, NIU Yanjie   

  1. College of Command and Control Engineering, Army Engineering University of PLA, Nanjing 210007, China
  • Online:2019-11-25 Published:2019-11-25

摘要:

传统作战系统效能分析大多基于统计和仿真分析的方法开展,无法细致刻画实际作战中人员操作运用所造成的影响以及系统内各属性要素之间的因果关系影响。从方法学研究的角度看,作战系统的运用效能是系统装备、人和环境综合作用的结果,需要一种解析化的分析方法。通过刻画作战系统的内部相互关系、人员对系统的操作,构建了线性响应系统关系模型,从而实现对作战系统运用效能的解析化评估。设计了一个示例,运用所提出的分析方法,分析了系统鲁棒性,得到了在系统关键属性上的操作对作战效能的量化影响,说明和检验了所提方法的有效性和合理性。

关键词: 方法学研究,  线性响应系统, 系统运用效能, 解析化评价

Abstract:

People use statistical and simulation methods traditionally to analyze operational effectiveness of the combat system. These methods fail in detailedly describing the impact of human operations in actual combats and the causal relationship among various attributes of elements in the system. From the perspective of methodology, the effectiveness of the combat systems is affected by the combined effects of equipment, man and the environment. Therefore, an analytical method is required. By characterizing the internal relationship and human operations of combat systems, a linear system framework is constructed to analytically evaluate the operational effectiveness of combat systems. In addition, a case study is given to analyze the robustness of the system and to obtain the quantitative impacts of key system attributes through the proposed method. In this case study, the validity and rationality of the method are illustrated and validated.

Key words: methodological study, linear response system, operational effectiveness of system, analytical evaluation