系统工程与电子技术 ›› 2019, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (4): 929-936.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2019.04.32

• 可靠性 • 上一篇    

恒定应力加速退化试验差异化设计

陈震, 潘浩, 潘尔顺   

  1. 上海交通大学机械与动力工程学院, 上海 200240
  • 出版日期:2019-03-20 发布日期:2019-03-20

Differentiated design of constant stress accelerated degradation test

CHEN Zhen, PAN Hao, PAN Ershun   

  1. School of Mechanical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China
  • Online:2019-03-20 Published:2019-03-20

摘要:

针对高可靠性长寿命产品的寿命估计问题,提出多应力水平的恒定应力加速退化试验差异化设计方案。采用考虑随机效应的非线性Wiener过程模型来描述产品的退化路径,给出了基于极大似然估计的未知参数估计方法。为了差异化地决策每个应力水平对应的加速退化试验所需的样本数量、测量时间间隔和测量次数的最优组合,建立了以试验总成本为约束,平均失效前时间的渐近方差最小化为目标的优化模型,并提出了相应的遗传算法以用于高效地求解模型的最优值。最后通过实例和仿真试验,验证了模型和方法的有效性和实用性。

Abstract:

A differentiated design of the constant stress accelerated degradation test is proposed to assess the lifetime of highly reliable and long lifetime products. The nonlinear Wiener process model with random effects is used to describe the degradation paths of the products. The maximum likelihood estimation is applied to estimate the unknown parameters of the model. Then, under the constraint of the total experimental budget, the differentiated plans of constant stress accelerated degradation tests are optimized by minimizing the asymptotic variance of the estimated mean time to failure. A genetic algorithm was developed to determine the number of units, inspection interval, and measurement times for the corresponding test of each stress level. Finally, an example and simulation experiments are presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.