基于作战环的导弹武器系统体系相对贡献率评估

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2020.08.13

Abstract

Abstract:

Based on the combat ring theory, the combat network model of the weapon equipment system-of-systems is established from the nodes, edges and rings. An efficient system relative contribution rate evaluation method is proposed based on the Monte Carlo method. According to typical combat scenarios, the effects of two types of missiles on the penetration probability and damage probability are studied under different emission numbers. Simulation results show that the missile penetration probability increases significantly with the increase of its number. When more than six missiles are launched, the target's damage probability is as high as 95.3%, which is basically saturated. The operational effectiveness of I₂ is significantly higher than I₁. When the number of missiles is less than 3, the system-of-systems relative contribution rate of I₂ reaches more than 133.3%.

Key words: combat system-of-systems, Monte Carlo method, relative contribution rate of system-of-systems

CLC Number:

N936

Guixiang FANG, Yuejin TAN, Mu ZHANG, Xiaodong BU, Jun ZHANG. Evaluation of relative contribution rate of missile weapon system-of-systems based on combat ring[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2020, 42(8): 1734-1739.

Figures/Tables 8

Table 1

Fig.1

Table 2

Fig.2

Table 3

Fig.3

Table 4

Table 5

References 31

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能力指标	取值范围
抗毁系数	0.82
预警时间/s	[0.4，0.9]
机动速度/节	[0, 40]
隐身系数	0.63
初始距离/km	[500，2 000]
相对拦截能力	[0.5，0.9]
抗光学系数	0.74
抗雷达系数	0.71
抗红外系数	0.68

发射平台	发射数目/枚	I₁突防概率	I₂突防概率
1	1	0.259	0.407
1	2	0.452	0.687
2	3	0.590	0.862
2	4	0.699	0.944
3	5	0.893	0.983
3	6	0.966	0.998
4	7	0.989	0.999
4	8	0.997	0.999

发射平台	发射数目/枚	I₁毁伤概率	I₂毁伤概率
1	1	0.065	0.148
1	2	0.187	0.476
2	3	0.355	0.801
2	4	0.570	0.931
3	5	0.824	0.974
3	6	0.953	0.997
4	7	0.980	0.998
4	8	0.995	0.998

发射平台	发射数目/枚	I₁作战效能	I₂作战效能
1	1	0.051	0.119
1	2	0.145	0.383
2	3	0.279	0.658
2	4	0.442	0.773
3	5	0.598	0.782
3	6	0.714	0.791
4	7	0.733	0.792
4	8	0.737	0.792

发射平台	发射数目/枚	I₂体系相对贡献率/%
1	1	133.3
1	2	164.1
2	3	135.8
2	4	74.9
3	5	30.8
3	6	10.8
4	7	8.0
4	8	7.5

Evaluation of relative contribution rate of missile weapon system-of-systems based on combat ring

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