Systems Engineering and Electronics ›› 2018, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (6): 1302-1309.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2018.06.16

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Construction and optimization of a multi-variables discrete grey power model

DING Song1, DANG Yaoguo1, XU Ning2, WANG Junjie1, GENG Shuaishuai1   

  1. 1. College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China;
    2. College of Management Science and Engineering, Nanjing Audit University, Nanjing 211815, China
  • Online:2018-05-25 Published:2018-06-07

Abstract: With regard to the nonlinear system having multi-variables and sparse data, a multi-variable discrete grey power model is proposed and its solution method is discussed. Considering the great effect of driving factors on the modelling precision, an optimized model is constructed by introducing a driver control function to recognize the main driving factors in driving stages. Subsequently, approaches to identifying the parameters of the driver control function are discussed and the modeling steps are listed. At last, this new proposed model is employed for forecasting China’s grain production, compared with other competing models. This experimental result shows the proposed model can better describe the nonlinear relationships between the system behaviors and the driving factors, thereby improving the accuracy of grey system modelling.

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