Abstract:

In order to evaluate the operational reliability of ship to air missile weapon system in the process of single fire, the reliability block diagram (RBD) considering the system operator’s behavior is established through RBD modeling technology, which is the basis of operational reliability mathematical model of the weapon system. Thereinto, the operational reliability degree of the system operator is obtained via expert estimation, and also the operational reliability degree of single system device is obtained via a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, thus sufficiently taking the factors of the system operator’s operation, system inherent reliability and campaign environment into account, and also providing a new research methodology for the operational reliability evaluation of other weapon system.