Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics ›› 2009, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (10): 2394-2398.

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Discrete grey prediction model based on optimized initial value

YAO Tian-xiang1, LIU Si-feng2, DANG Yao-guo2   

  1. 1. Coll. of Economics and Management, Nanjing Univ. of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China;
    2. Coll. of Economics and Management, Nanjing Univ. of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China
  • Received:2008-04-25 Revised:2009-06-19 Online:2009-10-20 Published:2010-01-03

Abstract: To solve the insufficiency of traditional GM(1,1) model,this paper studies the growth rate of the simulation values under different initial values of discrete GM(1,1) model.Optimization techniques is applied to solve the initial value,which proves that the modified discrete GM(1,1) model can perfectly simulate the exponential sequence.Two kinds of segmental corrected discrete GM(1,1) models are provided to prove the modeling mechanism and expand the conclusions.The results indicates the segmental corrected discrete GM(1,1) model with optimized initial values can perfectly simulate segmental geometric sequences.

CLC Number: 

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