Systems Engineering and Electronics ›› 2019, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (3): 693-700.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2019.03.32

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Mis-specification analysis of inverse Gaussian degradation processes model

CHEN Xudan1, SUN Xinli1, JI Guoxun1, LI Zhen2   

  1. 1. The Rocket Force University of Engineering, Xi’an 710025, China; 2. Naval Academy, Beijing 100161, China
  • Online:2019-02-25 Published:2019-02-27

Abstract:

The mis-specification effects of stochastic process-based degradation models are rarely studied and mainly focus on linear models. This paper investigates two types of misspecification in inverse Gaussian (IG) processes, that is, a non-stationary IG process without random effects which is wrongly assumed to be a nonlinear Wiener process without random effects, and an IG process with a random effect which is wrongly assumed to be a simple IG process. In such situations, the distribution characteristics of quasi maximum likelihood estimation (QMLE) of the mean-time-to-failure (MTTF) are derived according to the theory of QMLE asymptotic normality. Through a case study about fatigue-crack-growth data, the effects of the corresponding model’s mis-specification on the MTTFs are compared and analyzed. The results also show that the effects of mis-specification become large under some settings of parameters, or combinations of the number of the sample size and measurements, which can be used as references to engineering applications.

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