重大舆情与突发事件舆论演变与引导机制研究述评

doi:10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2024.08.18

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

全媒体环境下, 重大舆情与突发事件舆论引导及相应的科学研究问题日益凸显出行为的复杂性、结构的复杂性、要素间关联的复杂性和环境的复杂性, 向目前的引导研究方法论提出新的挑战。以Web of Science和中国知网(China national knowledge infrastructure, CNKI)数据库为数据来源, 围绕重大舆情与突发事件本身的分析挖掘、指标体系、传播和演化, 以及舆论引导策略的宏观政策、态势研判、演化仿真预测和应急响应研究展开述评梳理, 最后总结了重大舆情和突发事件舆论引导理论方法、研判分析和预警研究面临的挑战和发展趋势, 有助于帮助数智驱动应急管理体系和能力建设发展中新机遇和新挑战方面的落实。

关键词: 重大舆情与突发事件, 舆论演变, 舆论引导机制, 舆论态势研判

Abstract:

In the all-media environment, the guidance of public opinion on major public opinions and emergencies and the corresponding scientific research issues increasingly highlights the complexity of behavior, complexity of structure, complexity of relationships between elements, and complexity of the environment. Public opinion guidance research methodologies for incident events pose new challenges. By using the Web of Science and China national knowledge infrastructure (CNKI) databases, this review focuses on the analysis and mining, indicator system, dissemination and evolution of major public opinions and emergencies themselves, as well as the macro-policy, situation analysis, evolution simulation prediction and emergency response research of public opinion guidance strategies. Finally, the challenges and development trends faced by theoretical methods, judgment analysis, and early warning research on major public opinion and emergency public opinion guidance are summarized, which can help promote the implementation of new opportunities and challenges in the development of digital intelligence-driven emergency management systems and capacity building.

Key words: major public opinion and emergencies, opinion evolution, guidance mechanism, judgment of public opinion situation

中图分类号:

G206

关爽, 王长峰, 杨龙飞. 重大舆情与突发事件舆论演变与引导机制研究述评[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2024, 46(8): 2709-2720.

Shuang GUAN, Changfeng WANG, Longfei YANG. Evolution and guidance mechanism of public opinion and emergencies: a review[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2024, 46(8): 2709-2720.

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序号	国外高频关键词	词频	国内高频关键词	词频
1	舆情	1 616	网络舆情	2 510
2	社交媒体	386	突发事件	1 244
3	态度	375	高校	150
4	情感分析	326	地方政府	138
5	网络	302	突发公共事件	133
6	推特	278	新媒体	126
7	信息	267	应对策略	117
8	交互	178	舆情	97
9	意见	178	舆论引导	93
10	观点	136	高校突发事件	87
11	行为对策	117	舆情引导	84
12	媒体	108	突发事件网络舆情	79
13	影响	97	指标体系	77

序号	英文关键词	词频	中文关键词	词频
1	情感分析	3 913	网络舆情	3 584
2	社交媒体	2 318	高校舆情	704
3	推特	1 266	舆论引导	565
4	机器学习	904	引导策略	546
5	自然语言处理	739	舆情引导	476
6	分类	640	自媒体	420
7	深度学习	617	引导机制	409
8	意见挖掘	490	舆情	315
9	文本挖掘	427	突发事件	321
10	大数据	360	网络舆论	310
11	数据挖掘	242	微博	137
12	社交网络	231	自媒体	160
13	舆情	143	舆情监控	113
14	情感分类	138	舆论	66