系统工程与电子技术

• 系统工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于协商视角的证据推理

陈圣群1,2, 王应明1   

  1. (1. 福州大学决策科学研究所, 福建 福州 350108;
    2. 福建江夏学院电子信息科学学院, 福建 福州 350108)
  • 出版日期:2016-03-25 发布日期:2010-01-03

Evidential reasoning based on negotiation

CHEN Sheng-qun1,2, WANG Ying-ming1   

  1. (1. Decision Sciences Institute, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350108, China;
    2. School of Electronic Information Science, Fujian Jiangxia University, Fuzhou 350108, China)
  • Online:2016-03-25 Published:2010-01-03

摘要:

以管理决策为背景,从协商视角对证据推理进行研究。根据决策者偏好,可以有选择地参与协商,协商的基本思想是在满足决策者个体需求条件下,从整体上尽可能使各证据修正值与每个决策者给出的证据偏差最小,然后得出协商权重进行证据组合。最后,通过算例分析验证了该方法的优越性。

Abstract:

The evidential reasoning from the perspective of negotiation in management decision is researched. Evidence can be selectively involved in negotiation according to decision-makers’ preference. The proposed method of negotiation is to minimize the overall deviation of modified evidences from evidences offered by decisionmakers under the condition of satisfying decision-makers’ individual needs, and to calculate negotiation weights, with which evidences can be combined reasonably. Numerical examples are also provided to demonstrate the advantages of the proposed method.