面向任务的复杂系统韧性评估方法

doi:10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2021.04.17

Abstract

Abstract:

As the transformation of warfare form towards systematization, networking and intelligence accelerates, higher demands are placed on the resilience of military systems. Based on the analysis of the relationship between mission requirements and system resilience, a framework of mission-oriented system resilience evaluation is introduced. Under this framework, a new resilience index is proposed, which not only accounts the impact of system performance during the process of the task in the absolute time scale, but also incorporates the index of temporal resilience. Taking the support information exchange network as an example, this paper further expounds the application of the proposed resilience measurement method by simulating several mission scenarios under different task requirements and task time when disturbance and recovery are random.

Key words: system resilience, resilience engineering, resilience measurement, mission requirement, temporal resilience

CLC Number:

N945

Tao LIU, Guanghan BAI, Junyong TAO, Yunan ZHANG, Yining FANG. Mission-oriented resilience evaluation method for complex system[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2021, 43(4): 1003-1011.

Figures/Tables 12

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恢复策略	所用指标
恢复策略	Tran	Nan	Henry
策略1	0.149	0.024	0.688
策略2	0.175	0.031	1

任务时间/h	策略选择
任务时间/h	恢复策略1	恢复策略2
15	0.650	0.573
20	0.675	0.680
25	0.690	0.744

恢复策略	β	任务时间/h
恢复策略	β	5	10	15	20	25	30
策略1	0	1	0.5	0.667	0.75	0.80	0.833
策略1	0.2	1	0.5	0.600	0.65	0.68	0.700
策略1	0.4	1	0.5	0.617	0.675	0.71	0.733
策略1	0.6	1	0.5	0.633	0.700	0.74	0.767
策略1	0.8	1	0.5	0.650	0.725	0.77	0.800
策略1	1	1	0.5	0.583	0.625	0.65	0.667
策略2	$\forall \beta $	1	0.5	0.467	0.600	0.68	0.733

名称	描述	数值
N	网络节点数	30
m₀	初始连接节点数	2
m	新增节点建立连接变数	1
Δ	时间敏感参数	1
N_a	当前轮次内攻击发生次数	4
p_a	每次攻击毁伤概率	0.8
a_l/步长	节点重连最少时间	80
b_l/步长	节点重连最长时间	120
a_r/步长	节点修复最少时间	160
b_r/步长	节点修复最长时间	200
w	最大失效节点数	12
λ	单位时间内打击的轮次数	0.005

恢复模式	最低性能占比/%	网络韧性R(T)
恢复模式	最低性能占比/%	β=0	β=0.5	β=1
重连	20	0.978	0.814	0.649
重连	40	0.925	0.779	0.634
重连	60	0.808	0.693	0.577
重连	80	0.210	0.203	0.195
重连	100	0.101	0.101	0.101
修复	20	0.935	0.855	0.774
修复	40	0.832	0.788	0.744
修复	60	0.750	0.728	0.706
修复	80	0.642	0.636	0.630
修复	100	0.556	0.556	0.556

Mission-oriented resilience evaluation method for complex system

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References 36

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恢复模式	最低性能占比/%	网络韧性R(T)
恢复模式	最低性能占比/%	β=0	β=0.5	β=1
重连	20	0.772	0.629	0.485
重连	40	0.660	0.557	0.454
重连	60	0.556	0.481	0.406
重连	80	0.168	0.164	0.159
重连	100	0.101	0.101	0.101
修复	20	0.631	0.589	0.547
修复	40	0.553	0.540	0.527
修复	60	0.528	0.521	0.515
修复	80	0.493	0.492	0.491
修复	100	0.484	0.484	0.484