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Research on method of operational plan optimization for the warship formation based on prospect theory

WANG Wei1, YE Qiang2, XIE Chun-si3, LI Tao1   

  1. 1. Department of Naval Gun, Dalian Naval Academy, Dalian 116013, China;2. Unit 91959 of the PLA Navy,
    Sanya 572000, China;3. Department of Missile, Dalian Naval Academy, Dalian 116013, China
  • Online:2015-01-28 Published:2010-01-03

Abstract:

In view of the issue of operational command decision-making of the formation command organization under the informationized conditions, the operational command decisionmaking behavior is analyzed with an aim to solve the problem of operational command decision-making under the uncertain condition for the warship formation. Based on the above, utilizing the prospect theory, the risk decision-making is studied when the mind is made to operate. Firstly, the operational decision-making procedures are given, based on which, formation deciding to operate plan optimization is described in a way of mathematics. Then, according to the prospect theory decision-making frame, the solution for the described issue to put forward a decision-making analysis method based on the prospect theory. Finally, the effectiveness of this method is illustrated by a case analysis.

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