Abstract:

In order to face the increasing uncertainties in the development process of the armament, the paper gives the method of exploratory analysis on key equipment under multi-scenarios based on the logical relationship between the missions, capabilities and equipments. The case study indicates that the weapon system of systems based on multi-scenarios can face many kinds of uncertainties and can help us avoiding the problems coming from the development process of the armament which is forced to be changed when meeting emergencies. The method sticks out the bridge linking of capabilities in the equipment requirement procedure. Exploratory analysis on the variables which may be influenced by subjective experience can increase the credibility of the choice of key equipment.