系统工程与电子技术 ›› 2020, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (7): 1630-1636.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2020.07.27
收稿日期:
2019-12-09
出版日期:
2020-06-30
发布日期:
2020-06-30
作者简介:
吕卫民(1970-),男,教授,博士研究生导师,博士,主要研究方向为装备系统工程研究。E-mail:基金资助:
Received:
2019-12-09
Online:
2020-06-30
Published:
2020-06-30
Supported by:
摘要:
针对高可靠性、长寿命的电子功能部件环境适应性评估问题,基于蒙特卡罗仿真方法,本文评估定数截尾步降应力实验方案并进行仿真优化设计。以服从威布尔分布的电子功能部件寿命模型为基础,以环境温度为主要应力参数,以提高实验效率和降低实验代价为目的,结合相关失效模型,建立实验方案优化度评估函数。优化度评估函数的建立使得环境适应性实验方案由定性分析转变为定量分析,且最优实验方案具备更高的时效性和精确度,相对于一般的经验方案而言,能够提升44.8%的优化度。
中图分类号:
吕卫民, 李永强. 电子功能部件环境适应性试验优化设计[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2020, 42(7): 1630-1636.
Weimin LYU, Yongqiang LI. Electronic functional equipment environmental adaptability test optimal design[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2020, 42(7): 1630-1636.
表3
应力-寿命仿真数据"
实验结果 | 应力水平(/℃)及参数 | ||||||||||||||||
50 | 60 | 70 | 80 | 90 | 100 | ||||||||||||
m1 | η1 | m2 | η2 | m3 | η3 | m4 | η4 | m5 | η5 | m6 | η6 | ||||||
实验数据 | 3.10 | 14 010 | 3.10 | 11 667 | 3.10 | 10 023 | 3.10 | 8 762 | 3.10 | 7 762 | 3.10 | 6 987 | |||||
仿真结果 | 3.08 | 13 975 | 3.05 | 11 514 | 3.02 | 9 686 | 2.98 | 8 347 | 2.93 | 7 321 | 2.85 | 6 426 | |||||
误差 | 0.65% | 0.25% | 1.61% | 1.31% | 2.6% | 3.36% | 3.87% | 4.74% | 5.48% | 5.68% | 8.06% | 8.03% |
1 | GJB 4239-2001.装备环境工程通用要求[S].北京:中国人民解放军总装备部, 2001. |
GJB 4239-2001. General requirements for materiel environmental engineering[S]. Beijing: General Equipment Department of the Chinese People's Liberation Army, 2001. | |
2 | CHUNG S W , SEO Y S . Acceptance sampling plans based on failure-censored step stress accelerated tests for weibull distributions[J]. Journal of Quality in Maintenance, 2017, 12 (4): 327- 339. |
3 |
YUM B J , KIM S H . Development of life-test sampling plans for exponential distributions based on accelerated life testing[J]. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods, 1990, 19 (7): 2735- 2743.
doi: 10.1080/03610929008830343 |
4 |
HSIEH H K . Accelerated life test sampling plans for exponential distributions[J]. Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation, 1994, 23 (1): 27- 41.
doi: 10.1080/03610919408813154 |
5 |
DEVARAJAN K , EBRAHIMI N . A nonparametric approach to accelerated life testing under multiple stress[J]. Naval Research Logistics, 1998, 45 (6): 629- 644.
doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1520-6750(199809)45:6<629::AID-NAV6>3.0.CO;2-4 |
6 | TYOSKIN O I , KRIVOLAPOV S Y . Nonparametric model for step-stress accelerated life testing[J]. IEEE Trans.on Reliability, 2019, 45 (2): 342- 368. |
7 | 张春华.步降应力加速寿命实验的理论和方法[D].长沙:国防科技大学, 2016. |
ZHANG C H. Theory and method of step-down-stress accelerated life testing[D]. Changsha: National University of Defense Technology, 2016. | |
8 | DORP J R , MAZZUCHI T A . A Bayes approach to step-stress accelerated life testing[J]. IEEE Trans.on Reliability, 2016, 45 (3): 263- 276. |
9 |
KLEIN J P , BASU A P . Weibull accelerated life test when there are competing causes of failure[J]. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods, 1981, 10 (20): 2073- 2100.
doi: 10.1080/03610928108828174 |
10 |
张志华. 竞争失效产品加速寿命试验的非参数统计方法[J]. 工程数学学报, 2002, 19 (3): 59- 63, 94.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-3085.2002.03.010 |
ZHANG Z H . Nonparametric approach of accelerated life testing with competing causes of failure[J]. Chinese Journal of Engineering Mathematics, 2002, 19 (3): 59- 63, 94.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-3085.2002.03.010 |
|
11 | WATKINS A J . Review: likelihood method for fitting weibull log-linear modes to accelerated life test data[J]. IEEE Trans.on Reliability, 2018, 43 (3): 372- 378. |
12 | 吴绍敏, 程细玉. Weibull分布步加寿命实验统计分析[J]. 华侨大学学报(自然科学版), 1999, 20 (2): 109- 113. |
WU S M , CHENG X Y . Statistical analysis of stepwisely stress accelerated life test for the occasion of weibull distribution[J]. Journal of Huaqiao University(Natural Science), 1999, 20 (2): 109- 113. | |
13 | 茆诗松, 汤银才, 王玲玲. 可靠性统计[M]. 北京: 高等教育出版社, 2018: 234- 242. |
MAO S S , TANG Y C , WANG L L . Reliability statistics[M]. Beijing: Higher Education Press, 2018: 234- 242. | |
14 | SHEN Y J , LEU L Y . Design of optional step-stress accelerate life tests under progressive type I censoring with random removals[J]. Quality and Quantity, 2017, 45 (3): 201- 212. |
15 | PASCUAL F . Accelerated life test planning with independent weibull competing risks with known shape parameter[J]. IEEE Trans.on Reliability, 2017, 59 (1): 63- 72. |
16 | GB 2689.4-81.寿命实验和加速寿命实验的最好线性无偏估计法(用于威布尔分布)[S].北京:中华人民共和国第四机械工业部, 1981. |
GB 2689.4-81. Life test and acceleration life test-optimal li-near deflection-free evaluation of Weibull distributions[S]. Beijing: The Fourth Ministry of Machinery Industry of China, 1981. | |
17 | GB/T 37963-2019.电子设备可靠性预计模型及数据手册[S].北京:中国国家标准化管理委员会, 2019. |
GB/T 37963-2019. Handbook of reliability prediction model and data for electronic equipment[S]. Beijing: Standardization Administration of the People's Republic of China, 2019. | |
18 | MIL-HDBK-217F. Reliability prediction of electronic equipment[S]. Washingtion: Department of Defense, 2015. |
19 | 工业和信息化部.军用电子元器件领域科技发展报告[R].北京:国防工业出版社, 2018: 12-48. |
Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. Scientific and technological development report in the field of military electronic components[R]. Beijing: National Defense Industry Press, 2018: 12-48. | |
20 | GJBZ108A-2006.电子设备非工作状态可靠性预计手册[S].北京:中国人民解放军总装备部, 2006. |
GJBZ108A-2006. Nonoperating reliability prediction handbook for electronic equipment[S]. Beijing: General Equipment Department of the Chinese People's Liberation Army, 2006. | |
21 |
王浩伟, 滕克难. 基于加速退化数据的可靠性评估技术综述[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2017, 39 (12): 2877- 2885.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2017.12.35 |
WANG H W , TENG K N . Review of reliability evaluation technology based on accelerated degradation data[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2017, 39 (12): 2877- 2885.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2017.12.35 |
|
22 | 申争光, 苑景春, 董静宇, 等. 弹上设备加速寿命试验中加速因子估计方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2015, 37 (8): 1948- 1952. |
SHEN Z G , YUAN J C , DONG J Y , et al. Research on acceleration factor estimation method of accelerated life test of missile borne equipment[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2015, 37 (8): 1948- 1952. | |
23 | PASQUALE E , MASSIMLIANO G . Assessing high reliability via Bayesian approach and accelerated tests[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2018, 7 (6): 301- 310. |
24 | WANG W D , KECECIOGLU D B . Fitting the log-linear model to accelerated life-test data[J]. IEEE Trans.on Reliability, 2016, 49 (2): 217- 223. |
25 | NELSON W . Accelerated testing-statistical model, test plans anddata analysis[M]. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2018: 453- 462. |
26 | HANNAMAN D J , ZAMANI N , DHIMAN J , et al. Error analysis for optimal design of accelerated tests[J]. Microelectronics Reliability, 1991, 31 (1): 206. |
27 | CHEN W H , LI H S , LIAN W Z , et al. Accelerated life test and statistical analysis of aerospace electrical connecters under multiple environmental stresses[J]. Journal of Zhejiang University: Engineering Science, 2017, 40 (2): 368- 371. |
28 | VIOLETTE J . Electromagnetic compatibility handbook[M]. New York: Department of Defense, 2017: 57- 69. |
29 | BRIS R . Bayes approach in RDT using accelerated and long-term life data[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2000, 67 (1): 9- 16. |
30 | HERBERT W E . Development of the weathering test[J]. Test Engineering & Management, 2016, 54 (4): 6- 8. |
31 | WU Y C , CHANG H . A multidisciplinary forum for applied science and engineering[J]. Journal of Testing and Evaluation, 2017, 39 (4): 509- 513. |
[1] | 杨皓洁, 吕建伟, 徐一帆. 考虑时间相关故障的多状态系统可靠性与任务成功性仿真评估方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2021, 43(8): 2362-2372. |
[2] | 沈笑云, 廖仙华, 孙卫天, 夏亚波, 杨磊. 可变先验贝叶斯学习稀疏SAR成像[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2021, 43(7): 1781-1790. |
[3] | 王双川, 贾希胜, 胡起伟, 曹文斌, 马云飞. 合成部队多阶段作战任务成功概率仿真评估[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2021, 43(3): 763-772. |
[4] | 王许煜, 胡敏, 张学阳, 赵玉龙, 李玖阳. 基于Petri网的导航卫星星座备份策略分析评估方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2021, 43(2): 434-442. |
[5] | 万兵, 韩维, 梁勇, 苏析超. 基于指标函数的舰载机机队回收调度优化研究[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2021, 43(10): 2918-2930. |
[6] | 房桂祥, 谭跃进, 张木, 卜晓东, 张军. 基于作战环的导弹武器系统体系相对贡献率评估[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2020, 42(8): 1734-1739. |
[7] | 王玉龙, 彭文成, 董志明, 张子伟. 考虑节点失效的异构仿真网络可靠性评估蒙特卡罗模拟[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2020, 42(8): 1873-1880. |
[8] | 刘江义, 王春平, 王暐. 基于双马尔可夫链的SMC-CBMeMBer滤波[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2019, 41(8): 1686-1691. |
[9] | 张一迪, 王培志, 陆起涌, 张建秋. 异常数据恒虚警检测的非参数方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2019, 41(5): 964-971. |
[10] | 李超, 王瑛, 张育, 陶茜. 基于GADSPN的复杂装备危险耦合传递模型[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2019, 41(3): 579-585. |
[11] | 邢志伟, 魏志强, 罗谦, 文涛, 丛婉, 夏欢. 基于着色时间Petri网的航班保障服务建模方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2018, 40(5): 1064-1069. |
[12] | 李冬霞, 刘国庆, 刘海涛. 基于MCMC的OFDM系统脉冲噪声检测与抑制方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2018, 40(10): 2348-2353. |
[13] | 孔云波, 冯新喜, 许丁友. 基于QMC采样的GMPHD分布式融合方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2017, 39(8): 1702-1708. |
[14] | 蔡芝明, 金家善, 陈砚桥. 基于关键性的备件库存配置优化模型[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2017, 39(8): 1765-1773. |
[15] | 刘艳超, 师义民, 师小琳. 含屏蔽数据四单元混联系统的可靠性分析[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2017, 39(5): 1183-1188. |
阅读次数 | ||||||
全文 |
|
|||||
摘要 |
|
|||||