基于系统动力学的海上反舰兵力损耗分析

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2020.04.14

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

为了研究海上反舰作战中的双方兵力损耗,以及电子设备对兵力损耗的影响,在提炼红方反舰和蓝方防守动态对抗系统关键因素的基础上,分析了变量间的反馈关系,构建了基于兰彻斯特方程的系统动力学模型并在VENSIM软件平台上仿真,比较了蓝方电子干扰和侦察设备处理信号强度不同时的模拟结果。仿真分析表明,在蓝方电子干扰和侦察设备处理信号强度程度相当时,蓝方的兵力损耗减少,而红方的损耗增多,为双方作战中减少兵力损耗提供了一定的理论支撑。

关键词: 系统动力学, 反舰作战, 兵力损耗, 电子设备

Abstract:

In order to study the force loss of both sides in anti-ship combat at sea and the influence of electronic equipment on force loss, the key factors of dynamic countermeasures systems of red anti-ship and blue defense are extracted. The feedback relationship between variables is analyzed. The system dynamics model based on Lanchester equation is built and simulated on VENSIM software platform. The simulation results of different signal strengths of blue square electronic interference and reconnaissance equipment are compared. The simulation analysis shows that when the two are equal, the loss of force of the blue side decreases and the loss of the red side increases, which provides some theoretical support for reducing the loss of force of the two sides in the battle.

Key words: system dynamics, anti-ship combat, force loss, electronic equipment

中图分类号:

齐小刚, 翟豆豆, 刘学星. 基于系统动力学的海上反舰兵力损耗分析[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2020, 42(4): 836-842.

Xiaogang QI, Doudou ZHAI, Xuexing LIU. Analysis of anti-ship force loss at sea based on system dynamics[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2020, 42(4): 836-842.

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常量/状态变量	数值/初值
红方雷达的最大探测距离/km	300
红方雷达到蓝方舰艇的距离/km	300
蓝方雷达的最大探测距离/km	650
红方单架飞机导弹发射数量/枚	4
红方护航机的数量/架	2
红方水面舰船的数量/艘	6
红方潜艇的数量/艘	2
红方警戒直升机的数量/架	2
红方电子战飞机的数量/架	2
蓝方水面舰船的数量/艘	6
蓝方预警机的数量/架	2
蓝方电子战飞机的数量/架	2
蓝方舰载机的数量/架	2

方案	蓝方电子干扰设备处理信号强度:蓝方电子侦察设备处理信号强度
1	9:1
2	8:2
3	7:3
4	6:4
5	5:5

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