基于故障风险标尺的复杂装备健康状态分类模型

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2020.02.31

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

针对复杂装备故障呈现出多重性、相关性及模糊性的特点,本文分析了装备健康状态演化规律,利用自适应模糊神经网络、故障模式、影响及危害性分析构建故障风险标尺,实现了对复杂装备故障风险程度的定量化描述及装备健康状态的分类。通过实验分析,本文提出的模型相比于传统的故障预测以及故障风险程度定量方法具有显著优势,实现了对装备从设计生产、部署使用以及退役报废全寿命周期的动态反馈,对提高复杂装备综合保障能力具有重要意义。

关键词: 双标签模糊神经网络, 故障预测, 装备健康状态, 故障风险标尺

Abstract:

In view of the complex equipment fault with presents the characteristics of multiplicity, correlation and fuzziness, this paper analyzes the evolution law of the equipment health state, constructs the fault risk scale by using the adaptive fuzzy neural network and failure mode, effects and criticality analysis, and realizes the quantitative description of the fault risk degree of complex equipment state equipment health classification. Experimentally, the model proposed in this paper has significant advantages over the traditional fault prediction and quantitative method of fault risk degree, and realizes the dynamic feedback of the whole life cycle equipment from design, production, deployment and use to retirement, which is of great significance for improving the comprehensive support ability of complex equipment.

Key words: double label fuzzy neural network, failure prediction, equipment health, failure risk scale (FRS)

中图分类号:

TP18

张保山, 张琳, 张搏, 鲁娜, 魏圣军. 基于故障风险标尺的复杂装备健康状态分类模型[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2020, 42(2): 489-496.

Baoshan ZHANG, Lin ZHANG, Bo ZHANG, Na LU, Shengjun WEI. Equipment health classification model based on failure risk scale[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2020, 42(2): 489-496.

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分布类型	应用范围
指数分布	包括电子设备、电子元件、多部件复杂系统以及具有恒定故障率的零部件
正态分布	在非寿命情况下, 80%以上的问题是整体分布问题。适用于机械产品和结构工程中研究强度和应力分布;磨损型的零件和故障;质量过程稳定性时产品尺寸及性能的量度;电阻值、半导体材料性能指标及材料强度
对数分布	寿命现象事件主要集中观测值离散程度大的顶部不对称情况,如半导体器件、锗晶体管、硅晶体管、金属疲劳、风扇叶片、车体结构等
威布尔分布	主要适用于具有薄弱环节的模型,比如机械的疲劳强度、磨损寿命等,包括传动齿轮、滚动轴承、发动机、电动机等机械电气元件

故障概率	P	评分
极低	P≤10^-6	1
较低	10^-6＜P≤10^-4	2、3
中等	10^-4＜P≤10^-2	4、5、6
高	10^-2＜P≤10^-1	7、8
非常高	P>10^-1	9、10

	GJB1391		GB7826
β	实际丧失	1	肯定损伤	1
	很可能丧失	0.1~1	可能损伤	0.5
	有可能丧失	0~0.1	很少可能	0.1
	不发生0	0	不发生	0

等级	G	故障影响重要度
1	1~2	不影响任务完成
2	3~4	非重要部分任务不能完成
3	5~6	部分任务不能完成
4	7~8	重要部分任务不能完成
5	9~10	不能完成任务

数据集	仿真数据	pima indians	iris
分类精度/%	99.84	64.08	84.39